Cash Flow to Stockholders is Defined As: Misleading?
How the Crypto-FTX-Fraud Could be Masking Epic Capital MisallocationAccounting Tools states that cash flow to stockholders is the amount of money a firm pays its equity owners. They explain that “Investors routinely compare the cash flow to stockholders to the total amount of cash flow generated by a business…”
The Mining Investment Boom Nobody Believes
Market Prices Suggest the Movement to a Green Grid Will Fail - Quick piece on some of the market’s cheapest and most unpopular stocks.
The Role of Critical Minerals in Clean Energy Transitions
Have Policy-Makers Given Investors a Secular Growth Story for Cyclical Stocks? Our research is empirically based and tends towards places that are uncomfortable and out-of-favor. In 2020, as investors gorged on crypto, loss-making tech and growth stocks of dubious merit..
Small Cap Quality Stocks: The Gift from the Index Fund Complex
Our team believes in inefficient markets, behavioral finance, empirical evidence, and common sense. Having penned brutally simple pieces explaining the risks large cap, large-cap, and small cap index fund owners are taking, our recent exchange with an advocate of index funds was inevitable. The caller was upset.
Small Cap Investing Strategies, Large Caps & Active Management
Welcome everyone, my name is Matt Malgari. Today’s presentation is going to be an update on the bull case for high..
Flush With Cash & the Quick Swing in Sentiment
How the Rotation from Risk On to Risk Off is…Creating Risk - The Oxford University Press tells us that the principal meaning of being “flush with cash” is having a lot of money, usually for a short period of time. The last part of the definition is interesting considering investors’ newfound interest in holding abundant piles of cash. A recent article headlined with “Retail money market funds inflows are the highest in 30 years as investors seek safety.”
Large Cap Growth Index Funds & the Path to Poverty
A Quick Peek at the Russell Large Cap Growth Index - Understandably smitten with low fees and a long bull market, index fund promoters appear to have the data on their side. A collection of financial heretics, the authors of this investment newsletter have highlighted what we believe are the defects endemic to index funds today. In the interest of simplicity, we have used single factors to highlight just how these...
Inflation is Taxation without Legislation or Representation
The Cash Crucible & the Acceleration of Financial Repression - “Cash is a Legitimate Asset Class for the First Time in Decades, Investors are piling into products that shield them from losses in a rising rate environment.” So said a recent article in Bloomberg. Any headline-hailing investors “piling” into anything should trigger instant paranoia.
S&P 500 Calculator: Warren Buffett Valuation Spreadsheet
This Tool Can Bring Calm to Chaos - Reverse inquiries looking for our Buffett 10-Year Returns Estimation Tool suggested another post was in order. We’ll explain where the tool came from, how to use it and why it is so important.
S&P Energy ETF vs. Apple
The Case for Investing in What you Need vs. What you Want Made Simple - Since 2020, this newsletter has used historical data to explain the case for investing in companies that make what you need while shelling overpriced companies that make what you want. KCR’s research has demonstrated that the market’s valuation structure has, and continues to, favor firms that provide popular discretionary goods and novelty technologies over companies that make essentials to human life.
Macro Research: Will Math Ever Matter in the US?
Tap Dancing with TINA & a Moment to Remember in US Monetary Policy - Macro Investing: The Rising Pressure of a Decade of Fiscal Profligacy - KCR’s investment process does not use macro inputs or engage in macro trading. We use historical security-level data around valuation, profitability, quality, and other metrics to identify opportunities for short sellers and long investors alike. Macro investing can be a challenging endeavor.
NFLX Short Interest, Regulatory Intrigue & Income Opportunities
What Short Sellers, the Voting and Weighing Machine are Offering Investors Today - KCR’s data-driven and historically informed process helps us avoid bubbles, find mispriced quality, and identify stocks that are simply too cheap.
