Should You Shop Among the Biggest Losers? – Momentum Beats Mean Reversion Over the Next Year
Introduction: Momentum vs. Mean Reversion Future Performance of the Biggest Recent Losers Can the Kailash Rankings Help Differentiate Between Future Winners and Losers? Conclusion Appendix: November’s Biggest Losers with December Rank Data Introduction: Momentum vs. Mean Reversion Recently, a ...
Are We Being Served a Fat Pitch in S&P500 IT?
Executive Summary Introduction: The recent reversal in Value vs. Growth stock performance since our August 2015 paper was reminiscent of the strong IT stock price movements seen during the time ...
Where Are We in the Biotech Cycle?
Introduction Biotech M&A Cycle Biotech IPO Cycle Does Valuation Matter Within Biotech? Conclusion: At Least Society (If Not Investors) Will Benefit from Biotech Investment Introduction News about Abbvie’s acquisition ...
Update on Comparing SMID Valuation Tails
Executive Summary Introduction: In May 2014 we published the white papers “Bubble Trouble? Comparing the Current Markets to 1999 and 2007” and “Comparing the Small & Mid Cap Valuation Tails: Low Dispersion, Reduced Opportunities & Fundamental Fixes.” In that ...
Introducing the Kailash Large Cap Rankings Tool
Introduction Features Differences from Other Kailash products Performance Conclusions Exhibits Appendix: User’s Manual for the Kailash Interactive Rankings Tool Introduction We are pleased to introduce the new Kailash Capital Research, LLC ...
Batter Up! More from Our Core
Executive Summary Introduction: We believe it is fitting for us to focus on our commitment to adding value to clients’ processes in a manner that respects your time. While the number of ways we have seen clients use our ...
How Likely Is a 25-Bagger within 10 Years? We Are No Fans of, at Best, 4% Odds
We would like to start with a pre-emptive apology for being terribly boring folks who tend to be grounded in probabilities. That predisposition has made the current environment somewhat challenging for us as we contemplate enigmas such as negative ...
Passive Vehicles & the Profit Penalty – A Brief Look at Index Investing in the Small & Mid Cap World
Executive Summary Introduction: As a client of our work we know you are an active manager and hence familiar with the barrage of news stories that seem to revel in our industry’s pain. In fact, just this last Monday ...
Debt and Stock Repurchases
Executive Summary Introduction: Clients have asked us about media and sell-side reports that claim near-record levels of U.S. corporate borrowing are being used to fund significant net stock repurchases in the US. Some observers worry this may be reminiscent ...
Testing Shiller P/E’s Efficacy for Single Stocks
Conclusions on the Quick Conclusions: Shiller P/E works well for stock selection within Large Cap. Mean reversion for earnings growth seems to happen much more within the Large Cap universe than within SMID. The improvement in earnings growth for ...
Volatile Times in Semiconductors – Canary or Canard and Does It Even Matter to Future Semi Returns?
Over the last year, our Large Cap portfolio has had a meaningful overweight in a select group of Semiconductor stocks. As Fig. 1 shows below, these names have been solid contributors to our portfolio returns as they have outperformed ...
Quality Conundrum, Part III – The Persistence and Performance of Quality
• Introduction: How to Define Quality? • Quality Persistence and Kailash’s Simple Quality Proxy o Return on Equity o Accruals o EBITDA Margins • Quality Performance • Conclusion: Kailash Core Models Work ...
