White Papers

September 25, 2026

Staples Stocks: A Refuge from a Possible Tech Wreck?

October 3, 2024|

In Part I of our work on Consumer Staples stocks we provided data demonstrating that: 1. Staples stocks had generated the highest risk adjusted return of any sector over the last 30 years 2. That relative to the S&P500 Staples were as cheap as they were at a. The peak of the dot.com bubble and b. The peak of the Covid bubble – a moment when we pounded the table on Staples to great effect 3. Investor interest in Staples’ reliable earnings and income features had fallen to never before-seen lows

Is Ralph Lauren (RL) Ripe to Keep Running?

September 26, 2024|

Ralph Lauren Corporation (RL) is a global leader in the design, marketing, and distribution of apparel and accessories that span the mid-range to luxury segments. RL’s products are sold through a variety of distribution channels under well-known brand names such as Polo Ralph Lauren and the Ralph Lauren Collection.

Financial Advisers: Facing Down the Stock Comp Crisis

September 10, 2024|

On Sept. 15, 2008, Lisa Roitman, a managing director at Lehman Brothers, was enjoying herself at a block party with her family in Greenwich, Connecticut, when a neighbor who worked at Goldman Sachs approached her. “I heard you were filing today,” he said. She was blindsided

How High ROIC Firms Could Cause the Next Crisis For Index Funds

August 7, 2024|

KCR was founded in 2010. A couple money managers looking to do something different. Honest. Unconflicted. Our asset allocation models were clear: high quality US large-cap blue chip stocks had almost never been cheaper relative to developed and emerging markets. US stocks looked like a free lunch to us in 2010. Simple.

Speculative Trading Returns with a Vengeance

August 1, 2024|

KCR is fond of highlighting the models where our methodologies are suffering. We do this as we think it shows intellectual honesty and highlights outsized opportunities to come. This piece is different. In our July 2021 missive The Low Value in High Volume, we focused on stocks with the lowest and highest volume.

Is MasterBrand Inc. (MBC) a Long Term Buy?

July 30, 2024|

Founded nearly 70 years ago, MBC is the largest manufacturer of residential cabinets in North America. MBC is known for high quality products and innovative designs. Its business is closely tied to home improvement, repair and remodel (R&R), and new home construction activity in the United States and Canada.

The Case for Cardinal Health, Inc. (CAH)

May 23, 2024|

Cardinal Health, Inc. (CAH) is primarily a pharmaceutical wholesaler that distributes the medicines drug manufacturers produce to pharmacies. CAH also manufactures and distributes CAH-branded medical, surgical, and laboratory products in the U.S. and Canada.

ARIS Water Solutions, Inc. (ARIS)

May 2, 2024|

ARIS is a uniquely positioned company: its water handling and recycling services seem likely to be in tremendous demand for the foreseeable future. In simple terms, the fracking process produces rapidly increasing quantities of water that must be disposed of or recycled.

OSG Ship Holding Group, Inc. (OSG)

April 25, 2024|

Overseas Shipholding Group, Inc. (OSG) operates a fleet of vessels that transport crude oil, petroleum, and transportation fuels primarily in the U.S. Flag trade. OSG operates a fleet of 21 vessels (13 owned and eight chartered) with aggregate carrying capacity of ~1.5 million deadweight tons (dwt). One dwt is 2,240 pounds.

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