Charts for the Curious

April 14, 2020

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Hillenbrand Investor Relations has an Incredible Story…

February 18, 2022|

(And nobody is listening, hence the opportunity). Hillenbrand 60 Second Summary: • $3.5bn market cap • Double digit earnings growth • 2% dividend yield • Authorization to buy-back 10% of shares outstanding. • 11% FCF Yield so could buy that stock back from ongoing FCF • Founded in 1906 – longevity • If management just avoids making an expensive acquisition, this stock can deliver significant growth & cash returns to shareholders

Hillenbrand Stock Price = Capital Discipline for Cheap

February 18, 2022|

• We have been proponents of investing in companies that make what you need, not what you want. • Behavioral errors often give investors the feeling that they “missed” a stock after it has risen • KCR believes that Hillenbrand lies at the intersection of two powerful themes we have highlighted: the opportunity in small-cap value stocks and finding growth at a reasonable price

Market Cap vs. Revenue: The Implications of 20x P/S Ratios

February 4, 2022|

The Chart Below Shows: • the market cap of just software stocks valued at over 10x price to sales is over $6 trillion • that means that software stocks priced at preposterous levels are now worth ~30% of US GDP • KCR thanks Scott McNealy for making investment decisions on stocks valued like this simple

Quantamental Investing: A Brief Primer on KCR’s Toolkits

January 21, 2022|

In our Chart for the Curious about Apple Computer, we document the challenges faced by investors who follow forecasters. For those seeking compelling evidence based on robust quantitative methods, please see our White Paper The Persistence of Profits. That piece builds on work done by a legendary professor of behavioral finance...

AAP Stock Chart: Did You Miss a Profitable Secular Grower?

January 14, 2022|

• The chart shows the performance of aftermarket automotive products supply and distribution firm Advanced Auto Parts, over the last 3 years • Since 2018 the stock has risen over 50% • We have been proponents of investing in companies that make what you need, not what you want, particularly in times like today, as explained in our...

Stocks Most like Enron Today, Free Enron Hat & Summary of Disaster

January 7, 2022|

Remembering the Risks of “The Smartest Guys in the Room”. We recently put out a two-part summary of Bethany McLean and Peter Elkind’s brilliant book The Smartest Guys in the Room. In an earlier piece, we quoted legendary financial historian John Kenneth Galbraith, who quipped that investors’ memories last “...at a maximum, no more than 20 years.” The KCR team agrees.

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