Better a Seller than a Buyer Be? – The Buffett Valuation Metric & the Notion of “Cheap at the Peak”
Introduction: Market Cap to GDP Appears Pricey The Numbers Required to Resolve Market Cap to GDP are Anything but Pretty How the Recent Rout Stacks Up vs. History Is ...
Private vs. Public Markets – Identifying Potential Sources of Risk and Reward
Introduction: The Pension Fund Propellant The Appeal of Private Equity’s Purported Promise The Complications of Competition The Concern with IPOs: A Seller’s Market Dry Powder Targets: Potential Winners Conclusion ...
Biotech Update: Revisiting our 2015 Report – A Similar but Slightly Less Compelling Conclusion
Introduction Biotech: M&A and IPO Data Update Valuation: A Biohazard in Biotech? Conclusion: Finding Opportunity in Biotech Appendix: Does Valuation Matter Within Biotech Introduction Over the last few months ...
Biotech Update, Part II – Finding Opportunity in Biotech
Introduction Largest Decile of Biotech vs. the Rest Conclusion Exhibits Introduction In part one of our two part Biotech update series titled “Biotech Update: Revisiting our 2015 Report”, Kailash ...
Pain Is the Parent of all Progress: Small & Mid Cap
The Case for Contrarians: Why the Low Momentum Anomaly May Represent a Compelling Opportunity for Active Managers Introduction: Is a Preponderance of Underperformers a Problem? Momentum Seeking: We Wish ...
A Market Cap Concentration Caution Flag Part II: Truth & Transparency Trump Narrative Convention
Introduction: The Nifty Five Revisited The Law of Large Numbers Capitalizing on the Kailash Rankings when The Nifty Five are Running Rich Fundamentals Today vs. Historical Periods of Nifty ...
A Market Cap Concentration Caution Flag? What has it meant historically and where we are today
Introduction: “Behemoths Have Dominated the Market Before, but Tech is Different,” WSJ, June 15, 2018 1 The 5 Largest Firms, “The Nifty-Five”, from Naïve to Nefarious? A Study of ...
Foraging Among the Forgotten Seeking Opportunity in Stocks the Index Ignores
Introduction: The Intermittent Accuracy of Intuition! The Magnitude of this Mispricing Characteristics Today Conclusions Exhibits Appendix: What May be the Truly Forgotten Introduction: The Intermittent Accuracy of Intuition Kailash ...
The “Amazon Apocalypse”: Rummaging through the Retail Wreckage, Part II – Retail Fundamentals: A Deep Dive
Introduction: Revisiting the Wreckage Historical Context: Compelling Fundamental Facts Have Our Models Helped & Might the Bleak Become Bright? Exhibits Introduction: Revisiting the Wreckage For the sake of simplicity ...
The “Amazon Apocalypse”: Rummaging through the Retail Wreckage, Part I – A Factual Review of Retail’s Basic Characteristics
Introduction: Anecdotes about the “Amazon Apocalypse” The Rise, Fall, Resurrection and Failure Rates of Retail & Other Firms The Batting Averages and Payoff Structures of Retail Pre and Post ...
Breaking Bread with Beta – Harnessing Perceived Volatility to Improve Risk Adjusted Outcomes
Introduction: Creating Constructive Outcomes from Kailash’s Beta Breakdown Revisiting The Collapse The Long of It: The Value of Volatility The Short of It: The Value of Humility Exhibits Introduction: ...
The Collapse of Common Sense II – Exploiting the EBITDA/Net Debt Error Among the Durable & Fragile
In our last paper, The Collapse of Common Sense, Kailash noted that the world seemed to have...