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Dan Fabrigar

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About Dan Fabrigar

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So far Dan Fabrigar has created 117 blog entries.

Bear Traders & The Basics of Breakeven

2021-08-11T11:26:35+00:00June 25, 2021|Charts for the Curious|

The quick road to severe setbacks: The chart below shows the five largest market declines since the 1960s Above each bar is the date the bull market peaked Below that is the number of months it took for each bear market to trough We do not believe anyone can ...

Cheap Stocks Right Now are the Exception Not the Rule

2021-08-11T10:49:14+00:00June 23, 2021|White Papers|

Identifying the Rare Firms With Big Profits, Low Prices and a History Of Flying Higher+  Flying Fortress Stocks: Making Money with a Margin of Safety The legendary B-17, the third most produced bomber of all time, earned its name “The Flying Fortress” due to the plane’s ability to withstand ...

Stock Market Bubble:

2021-08-11T11:26:41+00:00June 18, 2021|Charts for the Curious|

Record Returns & Record Prices: The chart shows the rolling annual returns of the S&P 500 since 1963  We put the Price to Sales ratio above the years that returned over 40% (the 96th percentile)  In the year ending March 1998 the market rose 48% and was valued at 1.8x sales – ...

Cheap Stocks with Dividends & Buybacks

2021-08-11T11:18:32+00:00June 16, 2021|Quick Takes|

On Friday, our Charts for the Curious highlighted that companies trading below 10x earnings had become remarkably rare.  As promised, this piece is designed to add force to just how scarce these cheap firms are while highlighting the group that pay you to own them. The first two charts of ...

Consumer Staple Stocks: Investing for the Long Haul

2021-08-11T11:19:33+00:00June 9, 2021|Quick Takes|

Food & Beverages in an Age of Tech Euphoria This Quick Take is simple.  We think the market is in the process of transferring wealth from the impatient to the patient[1].  Amidst a haze of get-rich-quick stories we are pounding the table for caution and patience. We admit that ...

The Steep Cost of Stock Compensation

2021-08-11T11:26:54+00:00May 28, 2021|Charts for the Curious|

Are Stocks With the Highest Growth Healthy? The chart shows the market cap of firms where stock compensation represents over a third of SALES We have written three pieces about how stock compensation creates the illusion of cost-free cash flow at some firms Specifically we wrote a Quick Take here, a white paper ...

Stocks Versus Bonds

2021-08-11T11:26:55+00:00May 21, 2021|Charts for the Curious|

The Problem with Peak Prices and Record Low Yields: In Seth Klarman’s “A Margin of Safety” he discussed the 1980s junk bond mania before it imploded Back then many bonds were issued by companies that could not afford to pay the interest expense That meant bond owners “claimed to ...

Inflation Investing

2021-07-22T04:35:25+00:00May 19, 2021|Quick Takes|

Geopolitics, Domestic Affairs and Investing in a Time of Uncertainty Introduction: A Break from Tradition This letter has an established tradition of bringing a highly specific and pointed approach to our commentaries. Always trying to be honest, these communications stick as closely as possible to the facts.  While unusual ...

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